International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics
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International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics

2022, Vol. 7, Issue 4, Part A

Some techniques of estimation and projection of a few basic demographic indicators


Author(s): Vikash Kumar and Manoshi Phukon

Abstract: In this paper, IMR, U3MR and U5MR childhood mortality rates for sex and rural-urban differentials are estimated by constructing a procedure in which indirect techniques of child mortality estimation by Trussell’s variant of Brass method proceeded to logit smoothing of the estimates and hence fitted to Weibull survival function to obtain final estimates is employed. The estimation is done based on children ever born (CEB) and children surviving (CS) data of census years of 1991, 2001 and 2011. Moreover, Life expectancies at birth are estimated for both sexes of rural and urban residents separately, by using methods of estimation of life expectancy at birth (LEB) as a function of child survivorship probabilities, developed by Phukon and Ahamed (2019). Finally, life expectancy at birth, infant mortality rate, under-three and under-five age mortality rates for both sexes and rural-urban differentials in five major districts of Bihar are estimated for reference years using Hill’s (2013) method. Using the estimates for reference years combined with observed data of the indicators, LEB, IMR, U3MR, U5MR of the districts are projected till 2030.

Pages: 55-68 | Views: 13 | Downloads: 4

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How to cite this article:
Vikash Kumar, Manoshi Phukon. Some techniques of estimation and projection of a few basic demographic indicators. Int J Stat Appl Math 2022;7(4):55-68.
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